What are former Vice President Mike Pence’s chances to win the Republican nomination for president in 2024?
Answer: At this moment, little or none.
Much can change between now and when the next presidential election so he should still be in the conversation due to his mainstream name recognition, service as vice president, and overall experience. However, he’ll be a longshot at best should he pursue the presidency in 2024.
Trump supporters comprise over 50 percent of the Republican Party and many of them see Pence as a sellout for a) not aggressively pushing the false election fraud narrative and b) not boycotting Joe Biden’s inauguration.
Ever since the former president, in his waning days in office, criticized and ridiculed Pence for not demanding the presidential election be overturned, MAGA fans have torched the latter on social media and at public gatherings. In fact, some insist the ultra-conservative former vice president is collaborating with Democrats as part of the so-called “Deep State.”
And while it was reported Trump and Pence made peace with each other after the election, bad blood between the two remains. In an interview last year with conservative radio host Lisa Boothe, Trump riddled off his list of “very good” 2024 Republican presidential candidates, and Pence, once his sidekick and most loyal backer, was not among those mentioned.
Trump’s personal list of top GOP candidates (not including himself and not necessarily in any order):
- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis
- Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley
- Texas Sen. Ted Cruz
- Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul
- Former White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders
- South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem
But let’s assume some Trumpers give Mike Pence the benefit of the doubt and support him in 2024. Would he then have a chance?
The Bible-thumping Pence is a hardcore conservative whose views, especially those relating to gay rights, rub a lot of people the wrong way.
And he’s no darling of Republican moderates or right-leaning independents let alone Democrats. While many give him credit for putting the country (as well as morals and laws) ahead of his party after the 2020 election, most wouldn’t dare consider voting for him.
The only group of Americans who would solidly support him at this moment are Never Trumper Evangelical Christians who did not support Donald due to his wretched lifestyle and vulgar behavior. They, of course, are far outnumbered by Evangelicals who worship Trump as a deity of sorts.
Mike Pence, despite some of his antiquated views on gays, is a gentleman and would be an honest leader. And that’s exactly why the MAGA faction of the GOP would reject him. Personality-wise, he’s more amiable a la Mitt Romney and John McCain and doesn’t possess the anger or virulence Republicans today seem to be seeking.
For the above reasons, Mike Pence would face an uphill battle should he try to win his party’s nomination for president in 2024.
But is Mike Pence’s legacy already secured?
The above stated, Pence’s actions as his country’s vice president on January 2021 may forever cement his legacy.
“It was really only Mike Pence refusing to play ball with the president he had served in such an obsequious way for four years and the valor of the officers who stood in between the Members of Congress and the mob and the insurrectionists that saved us that day…. “And that’s as close to fascism as I ever wanna see America come.”U.S. Rep. Jaime Raskin, (D-MD) via MSNBC
If American democracy survives another 100 years, Mike Pence will certainly be a revered figure in the annals of American history.
… IF American democracy survives.