With just five days before the Georgia Senate runoff between incumbent Raphael Warnock and challenger Herschel Walker, things are still close but consistent.
Warnock leads by 2 to 4 percentage points in each of the last four polls by reputable pollsters.
Current Polling: Georgia Senate Runoff
Based on the above polls, Warnock looks poised to win even though the spreads are within the margin of error.
Warnock, in last month’s general election, finished about a percentage point ahead of Walker despite losing in 4 of the 5 latest polls leading up to Election Night.
Bad news for Herschel.
Previous Polling: Georgia Senate General Election
Raphael Warnock 49.4%
Herschel Walker 48.5%
Chase Oliver 2.1%
Given Walker didn’t finish ahead last month when he was projected to, a victory for him in the run-off is even more unlikely now that he’s projected to lose.
Granted, all of the pollsters in both of the above scenarios are different so we don’t have apples-to-apples comparisons. However, the pollster Hill/Emerson, about 8 or 9 days prior to the general election, had Warnock ahead by 2, the same as their poll published last week.
We previously predicted Sen. Warnock would defeat Walker by 2 percentage points in the general election and are sticking to the same forecast in the runoff. (Why Warnock has the advantage over Walker in the runoff)